feat: add election calendar with CII scoring integration

[Jacob-Strokus]

• Add src/config/elections.ts with 25 global elections for 2026-2027
• Integrate election proximity boost into Country Instability Index scoring
  • Election day: +15 pts, imminent (1-7d): +10, elevated (7-30d): +5
  • Significance multipliers: high=1.0, medium=0.6, low=0.3
  • Post-election uncertainty period (3 days): +8 pts
• Display election badges in CII panel with days-until countdown
• Add buildElectionBadge() using h() DOM helper (compatible with i18n refactor)
• Export election utilities from config/index.ts
• Add .cii-election-badge styles

Summary

Type of change

• Bug fix
• New feature
• New data source / feed
• New map layer
• Refactor / code cleanup
• Documentation
• CI / Build / Infrastructure

Affected areas

• Map / Globe
• News panels / RSS feeds
• AI Insights / World Brief
• Market Radar / Crypto
• Desktop app (Tauri)
• API endpoints (/api/*)
• Config / Settings
• Other:

Checklist

• Tested on worldmonitor.app variant
• Tested on tech.worldmonitor.app variant (if applicable)
• New RSS feed domains added to api/rss-proxy.js allowlist (if adding feeds)
• No API keys or secrets committed
• TypeScript compiles without errors (npm run typecheck)

Screenshots

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Project	Deployment	Actions	Updated (UTC)
worldmonitor	Ready	Preview, Comment	Feb 22, 2026 3:40am

[koala73]

Thanks for the initiative on this — election proximity as a CII scoring signal is a great idea and the integration architecture (config → scoring → badge) is clean. However, the election data needs significant corrections before we can merge.

Findings

P1 - High

Most election dates are inconsistent with IFES/official election cycles as of February 2026. This creates incorrect instability boosts and rank distortion.

PR entry	Validation result
elections.ts:55 (Mexico 2026-06-07)	IFES shows 2024 national election and 3-year/6-year legislative terms — 2026 is off-cycle (next legislative cycle is 2027 for deputies).
elections.ts:63 (Philippines 2026-05-11)	IFES shows legislative election held 2025-05-12 — 2026 is off-cycle.
elections.ts:47 (Iran presidential 2026-06-18)	IFES shows presidential election held 2024-07-05 and 4-year presidential term — 2026 is off-cycle.
elections.ts:151 (Germany 2027-09-26)	Bundestag election was held 2025-02-23 and term is 4 years — regular cycle points to 2029, not 2027.
elections.ts:183 (India 2027-05-01)	IFES shows 2024 Lok Sabha election and 5-year lower-house terms — 2027 is off-cycle absent early dissolution.
elections.ts:175 (South Korea presidential 2027-03-09)	IFES shows presidential election held 2025-06-03 with 5-year term — 2027 is off-cycle.
elections.ts:217 (Norway 2027-09-13)	IFES shows parliamentary election held 2025-09-08 and 4-year terms — 2027 is off-cycle.
elections.ts:241 (Liberia 2027-10-12)	IFES shows 2023 presidential election and 6-year presidential terms — 2027 is off-cycle.
elections.ts:249 (Chile 2027-11-21)	IFES shows presidential election held in 2025 and 4-year term — 2027 is off-cycle.
elections.ts:71 (Colombia 2026-03-08)	✅ Consistent (IFES confirms 2026-03-08 legislative election).
elections.ts:99 (US 2026-11-03)	✅ Consistent (IFES confirms 2026-11-03 midterm date).
elections.ts:81 (Brazil 2026-10-04)	✅ Consistent (IFES confirms 2026-10-04).

Timezone correctness bug: new Date('YYYY-MM-DD') is parsed at UTC midnight, then day distance uses local now with Math.floor. In US time zones this can become previous-day local time and produce early/late boosts (off-by-one day).

P2 - Medium

• elections.ts:321 applies a post-election boost for -3 days, but elections.ts:371 (getElectionProximity) never returns a post-election proximity state. Result: score can be boosted while UI badge disappears, making the score jump non-explainable to users.
• No tests were added for new election scoring/time boundaries (especially timezone/day-window edges), despite new ranking logic in country-instability.ts:651.

P3 - Low

• CIIPanel.ts:66 hardcodes badge labels (TODAY, Xd) instead of using t() i18n like the rest of the panel.

Recommendation

The architecture and CII integration are solid — please:

1. Rebuild the election calendar using IFES Election Guide as the source of truth
2. Fix the UTC timezone bug in getDaysUntilElection()
3. Add a post-election proximity state to match the scoring boost
4. Add i18n keys for badge labels

Sources

• IFES Election Guide (Mexico)
• IFES Election Guide (Philippines)
• IFES Election Guide (Iran)
• IFES Election Guide (Germany)
• German Federal Returning Officer (Bundestag 2025)
• IFES Election Guide (India)
• IFES Election Guide (South Korea)
• IFES Election Guide (Norway)
• IFES Election Guide (Liberia)
• IFES Election Guide (Chile)
• IFES Election Guide (Colombia)
• IFES Election Guide (US)
• IFES Election Guide (Brazil)
• UK Electoral Commission

[Jacob-Strokus]

Pushed changes to correct election calendar data

[koala73]

Follow-up Review — Fix Commit 2cd6f1b

Thanks for the quick turnaround. The 4 items from the original review are addressed:

Original Item	Status
Off-cycle elections (Iran/Mexico/Philippines)	✅ Removed
UTC timezone bug	✅ Fixed with Date.UTC() normalization
Missing post-election proximity state	✅ Added to type + getElectionProximity()
Hardcoded badge labels (i18n)	✅ Now uses t() across all 16 locales

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However, verifying the remaining election dates against IFES/official sources reveals 6 more incorrect entries and 2 mislabeled ones:

P1 — Wrong dates (must fix)

Entry	PR Date	Reality	Issue
Australia	2026-05-21 parliamentary	Last federal election: May 3, 2025 (3yr max term)	Next is ~2028. No 2026 federal election exists. Remove.
Japan	2026-07-25 parliamentary ("Upper House")	Last HC election: July 20, 2025 (3yr cycle)	Next HC is ~2028. A snap Lower House election was held Feb 8, 2026 — different chamber. Remove or correct to Lower House 2026-02-08 if retroactive entries are wanted.
Georgia	2026-10-26 presidential	Georgia switched to indirect presidential elections in 2024 (electoral college). Next: ~2029.	Oct 26 was the 2024 parliamentary election date, not a 2026 event. Remove.
Rwanda	2027-07-15 presidential	Last presidential: July 15, 2024 (5yr term per 2015 amendment)	Next is 2029, not 2027. Remove or correct to 2029.
Iran legislative	2027-03-01	Last Majlis election: March 1, 2024 (4yr term)	Next is ~2028, not 2027. Correct to 2028.
UK	2027-12-17 parliamentary	Last election: July 4, 2024. Latest possible: Aug 15, 2029.	No evidence supports a 2027 election. Speculative date with no source. Remove or add caveat that this is a guess.

P2 — Mislabeled (should fix)

Entry	Issue	Fix
Czech Republic 2026-10-15	Labeled as parliamentary but the Chamber of Deputies was elected in 2025 (4yr term → ~2029). October 2026 has Senate + municipal elections (1/3 Senate renewal).	Change type to 'local' or add a 'senate' type, and update notes.
Kazakhstan 2026-03-19	March 15, 2026 is a constitutional referendum, not a parliamentary election. If the referendum passes, parliament dissolves July 1 and new parliamentary elections follow ~Aug 2026.	Either change to referendum date (Mar 15) with correct type, or change to the expected parliamentary election (~Aug 2026).

P2 — Still missing (from original review)

• No tests for election scoring/timezone/day-window boundary logic. Given 9 of 25 original entries had wrong dates, automated validation would catch future drift.

Summary

Status	Count
Original issues fixed	4/4 ✅
New wrong dates found	6
Mislabeled entries	2
Tests still missing	1

The corrected entries (Germany 2029, SK presidential 2030, India 2029, Norway 2029, Liberia 2029, Chile 2029) all verified correctly — good work on those. The 2026 entries that survived from the original commit are the ones that need attention now.

Recommendation: Cross-reference every remaining entry against IFES Election Guide before the next push.

[koala73]

Final Review — PR #221

Thanks for fixing the original issues quickly — the UTC timezone fix, post-election proximity state, i18n badge labels, and removal of the 3 off-cycle elections are all solid. The architecture (config → scoring → badge) remains clean.

However, the following date/label issues must be resolved before merge:

---

P1 — Blocking (affects Tier1 CII scoring)

These are Tier1 countries where incorrect dates will trigger election boosts prematurely via getElectionCIIBoost() in country-instability.ts:648:

#	File	Issue
1	elections.ts:172	UK hardcoded to 2027-12-17 ("expected by December 2027"), but UK Electoral Commission states only "no later than 15 August 2029." No evidence supports a 2027 election. Will trigger GB election boost ~2 years too early. Remove or move to 2029 with speculative caveat.
2	elections.ts:236	Iran legislative set to 2027-03-01, but IFES shows the last Majlis election was 2024. Iran Constitution Art. 63 sets a 4-year term → next ~2028. Correct to 2028.

P2 — Should Fix (incorrect data, lower scoring impact)

#	File	Issue	Fix
1	elections.ts:68	Australia 2026-05-21 — APH Library places the next federal election in the 2027–2028 window. No 2026 election exists.	Remove or correct to ~2028.
2	elections.ts:86-88	Japan 2026-07-25 labeled "Upper House" — IFES shows 2026 was House of Representatives (snap), while HC was 2025 (next HC ~2028).	Remove or correct chamber/date.
3	elections.ts:109-110	Georgia 2026-10-26 as direct presidential — IFES confirms president is indirectly elected by electoral college (since 2024), 5-year term → next ~2029.	Remove.
4	elections.ts:212	Rwanda 2027-07-15 presidential — IFES shows 2024 election with 5-year term → next ~2029.	Remove or correct to 2029.
5	elections.ts:101-102	Czech Republic 2026-10-15 labeled parliamentary — IFES identifies the 2026 event as Senate (1/3 renewal), not full parliamentary.	Change type to 'local' and update notes.
6	elections.ts:117-118	Kazakhstan 2026-03-19 labeled parliamentary — IFES lists this as a constitutional referendum (March 15). Parliamentary elections would follow ~Aug 2026 if passed.	Change to referendum with correct date, or move to expected parliamentary date.

Assumptions

1. Severity is based on scoring impact: only Tier1 countries (US, GB, FR, DE, etc.) meaningfully affect the election boost path in country-instability.ts:648.
2. Where sources provide cycle/term constraints rather than a declared polling day, corrections are inferred and should be marked tentative in the data notes.

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Overall the feature is well-designed and close to mergeable. Once the dates above are corrected against the linked IFES sources, this is good to go.